Tech Talk

Triggered by incoming US President Donald Trump, the next four years could prime the liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets for a golden era. Based on his campaign pledge, the returning president’s expected policies are likely to accelerate US LNG infrastructure expansion through deregulation and faster permitting, bolstering global supply. 

This could strengthen the sentiment around global LNG supply after years of uncertainty, helping to unleash long-term demand. Even so, an untimely supply boost will heighten the risk of a medium-term market glut, which would put downward pressure on prices.

President-elect Trump’s pro-energy agenda includes fast-tracking permits for stalled LNG projects, reversing Biden-era regulatory pauses and increasing leases on federal land for gas production.

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Without creating new demand, new discoveries can help curb emissions, drive value for the industry

Investment in oil and gas exploration has plummeted two-thirds in the last decade, but the industry still has a critical role to play in decarbonisation efforts and providing advantaged barrels in the energy transition, according to the latest Horizons report from Wood Mackenzie.

According to the report, “No country for old fields: Why high-impact oil and gas exploration is still needed” the world has plenty of current resources to meet demand, with approximately 3 trillion barrels of oil equivalent (boe) inventory.

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Under increasing pressure to decarbonize and shift away from traditional fossil fuels, the world’s leading oil and gas companies are ramping up investments in the biofuels sector. Major players such as BP, Chevron, Shell, TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil and Eni are incorporating biofuels into their broader energy transition strategies, recognizing the growing global demand for sustainable fuel sources.

According to Rystad Energy’s research, these six oil majors have announced a total of 43 biofuel projects that are either already operational or are targeted to start up by 2030.

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By Dr James Jeffs,Principal Technology Analyst at IDTechEx

IDTechEx’s report, “Sustainable Future Aviation 2025-2045: Trends, Technologies, Forecasts”, finds that hydrogen is likely to be a main contender for decarbonizing the aviation industry. The report finds that the hydrogen commercial airliner market will exceed US$20 billion in 2045. However, the technology used on the planes and the source of the hydrogen needs to be considered carefully before the industry can celebrate significant carbon reductions. If done incorrectly, hydrogen planes could be worse for the environment than existing jet fuel-powered planes.

There are three key issues and choices that...

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Rystad Energy’s market update from Middle East Research Director, Aditya Saraswat:

“Tensions are persisting in the Middle East and the humanitarian toll is climbing.Energy market fundamentals have been largely unaffected to date, but this could change at a moment’s notice.

In a widespread regional war scenario, Iran and Israel's conflict could severely impact gas exports and lead to delays in oil development projects.

Attacks on key facilities may threaten nearly 1.4 million bpd of Iranian production, causing significant supply disruptions.

A full-blown war could choke the Strait of Hormuz, risking up to 12 million bpd of oil, driving prices up sharply.

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“Fast escalating geopolitical risk is driving oil prices higher.

The intensifying conflict in the Middle East is generating significant supply concern in the global crude market, with prices up more than 4% (in the first week of October).

The potential for supply disruptions – particularly, but not exclusively from Iran – increases as the fighting intensifies.

But OPEC+ still sits on unusually ample spare capacity, which is the result of successive production cuts over the past two years.

This spare capacity is for now preventing runaway prices amid one of the deepest and most pervasive crises in...

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Despite the accelerating energy transition, oil and gas will remain central to the global energy mix for the foreseeable future as the key hydrocarbon sources continue to satisfy global primary energy demand, which is projected to exceed 650 exajoules (EJ) in the coming years. Rystad Energy estimates that by 2030, more than 75% of total demand will be met by fossil fuels, with emissions climbing as a result. A significant portion of these emissions will originate from upstream activities, particularly hydrocarbon extraction and gas flaring.

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Simon HolfordA*, Mojtaba RajabiB, Scott MildrenC, Rosalind KingA and Adam BaileyD

AUniversity of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

BUniversity of Queensland, Queensland, Australia

CTech Limit Pty Ltd, Stirling, South Australia, Australia

DGeoscience Australia, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia

*Correspondence to Simon Holford. Email: simon.holford@adelaide.edu.au

Abstract. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a critical component of proposed pathways to limit global warming, though considerable upscaling is required to meet emissions reductions targets.

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In November 2023 PCF, Oceania and RINA signed an MoU to collaborate on studies to define the commercial and emissions reduction benefits their combined concepts could deliver to ship owners and charterers for the Pilbara to Asia dry-bulk minerals export trade route. The Joint Study has now been completed.

The findings demonstrate an accessible and achievable pathway to Net-Zero Emissions for LNG, on a Well-to-Wake basis, for international shipping on this trade. The study presents a flexible and commercially attractive IMO compliant marine fuel strategy to ship owners, operators and charterers amidst competing alternative fuel.

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